It’s the news that all Tottenham supporters were dreading: Harry Kane needs surgery on his injured hamstring, and is unlikely to play again until April at the earliest.
The England man suffered the injury in his side’s defeat to Southampton, and the long recovery time casts some doubt on his involvement in Euro 2020 if he is not match fit.
A statement from Tottenham’s medical team read:
“Following ongoing assessment by our medical staff over the past week, we can confirm that Harry Kane will undergo surgery to repair a ruptured tendon in his left hamstring,”
Kane is a perennial goal machine – he’s bagged 27 in just 31 appearances for club and country in 2019/20, and usually a strong contender for the Premier League Golden Boot award.
However, he won’t stand a chance of winning it this term, so is the Golden Boot betting market shaping up now?
|Player||Club||Current Goals||Golden Boot Odds|
|Jamie Vardy||Leicester City||17||1/1|
|Marcus Rashford||Manchester United||12||14/1|
Jamie Vardy (17 goals)
The Leicester hitman has enjoyed a new lease of life since retiring from international duty, and Brendan Rodgers’ cosmopolitan approach at the Foxes is certainly helping.
— Jamie Vardy (@vardy7) 9 November 2019
However, the Expected Goals stats suggest that Vardy has converted a lot of low-quality chances this term, which would typically be considered unsustainable across the course of a season.
Available as short as even money to win the Golden Boot, there may just be better value than Vardy in the market.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (13 goals)
For all Arsenal’s faults, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang continues to find the net with regularity.
— Arsenal (@Arsenal) 1 December 2019
Now that Mikel Arteta has taken over as manager of the Gunners, it will be interesting to see if they deploy an attacking outlook that will enhance the Gabonese frontman’s goalscoring chances yet further.
They too don’t perform well in the xG ranks, however, and Aubameyang boasts one of the lowest goal-to-minute ratios amongst the leading contenders.
Danny Ings (13 goals)
He couldn’t, could he?
Danny Ings has been a revelation this season, and proof of the quality the former Liverpool man possesses if he can steer clear of injuries.
#FPL points in the last six gameweeks…
— Southampton FC (@SouthamptonFC) 8 January 2020
It’s a big if, of course, and any sustained period on the treatment table will all but end his hopes of an unlikely Golden Boot win.
But Southampton do create plenty of high quality goalscoring chances, and with most bookmakers paying out on the top three scorers there is value to be had in the 20/1 available on Ings.
Marcus Rashford (12 goals)
There is plenty to like about Marcus Rashford’s chances in the Golden Boot race, with the dynamic young England striker showing a real eye for goal this term and, crucially for this betting market, a deadly knack from the penalty spot.
✨ @MarcusRashford‘s sparkling form over the festive period has earned him another accolade ❄️
— Manchester United (@ManUtd) 6 January 2020
The issue, perhaps, is that Ole Gunnar Solskjaer continues to shuffle Rashford out on to the left flank; a situation exacerbated by rumours that the Manchester United manager is eyeing a new centre forward in the January transfer window.
Rashford will play every minute of Premier League football he is available for, and he is another who intrigues in the each way stakes at 14/1.
Tammy Abraham (12 goals)
Our pick in the Premier League Golden Boot betting market is Tammy Abraham.
The youngster has scored goals everywhere he has played, and in his first full season as a Chelsea regular he is scoring with some frequency.
London…. still blue ? pic.twitter.com/v2FzT7W0Lr
— Tammy Abraham (@tammyabraham) 29 December 2019
One of the most natural finishers in English football, Abraham has little competition for his place in the Chelsea starting eleven, and his goal-per-minute ratio of one-per-132 minutes is better than most around him in the running.
At 12/1, here’s a candidate that offers prospects both in the win-only and each way betting stakes.